The November Meeting - Cheltenham

This three day meeting has become one of the most popular meetings on the Cheltenham calendar, second only to.. You guessed it, The Festival. The highlight of the three days is none other than the BetVictor Gold Cup Day on the Saturday.  

So why has this meeting reached the heights of being one of the most popular meetings on the jumps calendar? Well, for me the answer lies in the venue it is hosted at, Cheltenham. Cheltenham, as claimed on their website “hosts the best jumping action in the world”. And it’s hard to argue against that. The rich history of horse racing in Cheltenham dates back to 1815, where unlike the racing Cheltenham has become synonymous for, races took place on the flat.

However, the races didn’t move to it’s current location on Prestbury Park until 1831. This was due to Cheltenham’s Parish Priest, Reverend Francis Close, preaching the evils of horseracing and aroused such strong feeling from followers that the original racecourse grandstand was burnt to the ground!

Amazing really that Cheltenham has bounced back from so much opposition in its early history to become the venue which hosts “the best jumping action in the world”. With that being said, what is some of the standout action we can expect this weekend?

Well, as previously mentioned Saturday hosts the standout day of the three days with the highlight race being the 2:25 BetVictor Gold Cup Handicap. A maximum field of 20 see’s the Grade 3 Handicap Chase run over 2 miles 4 furlongs and 78 yards and is run on the old course. current market leader Kylemore Lough, trained by Harry Fry, priced at 6/1. Followed closely in second by Tully East (7/1), trained by Alan Fleming. However, perhaps one to watch out for is Nicky Hendersons selection Gold Present who showed some real promise towards the end of last season and is currently priced at 12/1.

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Be sure to keep an eye out for Quickened Clears tips this weekend which will be posted on our blog page. You’ll find some amazing tips which will be sure to get you to beat the bookies. Why not keep up to date with their tips by following them on twitter at @quickenedclear.

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Saturday's Tips by Quickened Clear

1.50 Ascot

Plenty of rain is forecast for the early hours so conditions at both Ascot and Wetherby could well be on the soft side by the time of racing. Never the easiest of races to fathom with little or no chase form to go on. Copain De Classe is a five year old of some potential over fences, is clear on Quickened Clear’s ratings and could well take the beating for Paul Nicholls and Sam Twiston-Davies. Space Oddity has to be respected after running in what looked a fairly hot novice chase last time behind Shantou Rock, he is improving and Benatar, who should improve when jumping a fence, has some good looking novice hurdle form and also looks a threat. Cobrai De Mai, fifth at Cheltenham last weekend will likely encounter tougher conditions here and it may be a big ask to reproduce that run on slower ground after suffering from a fibrillating heart in the past while recent Cesarewitch eighth, Duke Street, also makes the shortlist and is open to improvement.

2.05 Wetherby

There has to be doubts about Le Bague Au Roi on ground which will be on the soft side. She had some fair novice form last season before finding graded races at Cheltenham and Aintree a little too much and though she stays two and a half miles her only attempt on soft ground was at Aintree in a bumper where she faded as a 2/1 favourite. The likes of Lady Buttons, Late Night Lily, Giveaway Glance, Miss Night Owl and Graceful Legend are all closely matched in the search for black type with Lady Buttons possibly the one to side with if she continues her improvement from last season. Intense Tango would go close at a big price if returning to her 2015 form.

2.25 Ascot

With heavy rain forecast for Saturday conditions could well go in favour Venetia Williams’ Calipto who has a liking for softer ground. This son of Califet ran notably well at Cheltenham in March on a good surface, having changed yards form Paul Nicholls to his current trainer and looks well treated, but does need to improve his jumping. If the rain does not arrive three who have to be worthy of consideration are Max Ward, Marracuda and Theinval, though Marracudja and Theinval really should have won more races. 2016 first and third Quite By Chance and Festive Affair should be respected but both are much higher in the weights this time while Somchine could go well at a price with the more rain the better for Seamus Mullins’ gelding.

2.40 Wetherby

Lil Rockerfeller just gets better and better with age producing a career best when running a cracker in the Stayers’ Hurdle at Cheltenham only for Nichols Canyon to spoil the party and coming late to steal the honours. The likelihood is that the Ascot Hurdle and Long Walk Hurdle are the main targets this year so fitness is a concern as Lil Rockerfeller does not have a great record when fresh. Arguably his best efforts have come on good to soft or good and that coupled with a fitness concern makes him vulnerable. Ptit Zig, if producing one of his better performances is serious contender, he will like the ground, goes well fresh and stays but he can be inconsistent. Wholestone will relish stepping back up to three miles after a fair return at Chepstow with soft ground in his favour and could go close. Fergal O’Brien has been in fine form of late and saddles Colin’s Sister who loves soft ground and improved throughout last season before finding conditions too quick at Fairyhouse in April. Her dam stayed three miles so the trip should be no problem and with a little improvement over the summer could be worth a small punt @ 16/1. Outsiders Gayebury and Fountains Windfall are also open to improvement and cannot be totally ruled out.

3.00 Ascot

A competitive early season handicap hurdle in which Nicky Henderson admitted that Jenkins has been hard to train and has a lofty mark for what he has achieved, though his trainer clearly thinks he is talented but on all available form should not be a 4/1 favourite. Stablemate Verdana Blue improved throughout 2017 culminating in a good effort, travelling notably well in a listed race at Cheltenham in April and should be doing her best work at the finish. Elgin defeated Jenkins at Kempton and produced some solid novice form last season though his best two performances came at sharper tracks so has a little to prove at this galloping course. Air Horse One has performed well in top handicaps after learning to settle and with course form has to be respected but does shoulder top weight. Midnight Maestro is a potential improver who will relish the heavy rain forecast and could be a bit of value @ 12/1 while High Bridge and High Secret should also be considered though Limited Reserve has the look of needing more of a test than the two miles here.

3.15 Wetherby

The Charlie Hall Chase has attracted two big guns in the form of multiple grade one winner Cue Card and former Gold Cup victor Coneygree. Both are having their first runs of the season so some caution is urged in terms of betting, especially with Cue Card who carries a penalty and faded into third in this race last season. Coneygree’s fitness as described by the words of Sara Bradstock, "He'll come on for the race, he wouldn't be at peak fitness, but he's in good nick”, suggesting he won’t be cherry ripe but he will do himself justice and without the penalty has to be favourite. Blaklion, fourth in the Gran National will need a stamina test so the soft ground could bring him into play and Nigel Twiston-Davies other runner, Bristol De Mai is talented but his jumping can go awry and he needs to get into a good rhythm to be seen at his best. The value clearly lies with Brian Ellison’s Definitly Red @ 8/1 who has a good record fresh and improved with every completed run last season. He goes very well at Wetherby and given more improvement could challenge the big two at the head of the market especially if they are not at their best.

3.35 Ascot

Antony looks to be primed for a defence of his crown after winning this in 2016 and could be worth a bet @ 14/1. Gary Moore’s seven year old goes well at this time of year, warmed up with a third behind Go Conquer at Fontwell and should enjoy rain softened ground. Antony’s victor last time Go Conquer has to come under serious consideration but would not want the ground too soft. Second and fourth in 2016, Junction Fourteen and Fourth Act should go well again with, the latter looking well handicapped if his jumping holds up. Thomas Brown goes well fresh and should enjoy tackling three miles for Harry Fry and Niall Madden. Braqueur D’Or has a bit more on his plate here than what he has encountered throughout the summer with the galloping, stiffer course very different to the likes of Stratford, Newton Abbot and Ludlow. Ballycross and Bigbadjohn can go well at prices but are prone to mistakes at their fences.

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets:

Colin’s Sister – 2.40 Wetherby – 1pt win @ 16/1

Definitly Red – 3.15 Wetherby – 1pt win @ 8/1

Antony – 3.35 Ascot – 1pt win @ 14/1

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Quickened Clear's Queen Elizabeth II Stakes Preview

The roll of honour for the QEII reads like a who’s who of top class milers with the likes of Frankel, Solow, Minding and George Washington having their names etched into history. Ribchester, apart from the Sussex Stakes, a strange race on bad ground and one he really should have won, would be unbeaten on European soil this season and though not as pleasing on the eye as some past winners, he deserves to take his place alongside them. It is no easy feat winning this race as an older horse though, with only three winners in the last ten years aged over three taking this race and he will have to fend off the younger generation who represent the main challengers bar Taareef, a late blossoming four year old trained by Jean-Claude Rouget. Well held by Ribchester in the Moulin, Taareef seems to be progressing at four and could yet worry the favourite if finding a few more pounds improvement.

The male Classic generation have not lived up to expectations, yes they are of group one ability, but in terms of a real superstar, it is safe to say we have been left a little underwhelmed. Churchill promised so much and after winning both the English and Irish Guineas in good style almost becoming the champion we annually crave for. Things did not go to plan at Ascot, where he produced a lacklustre performance before a fair second in the Juddmonte, which gave the impression his St James Palace run was a minor blip while at the same time proving that he was mortal and not unbeatable. The fact Churchill was not quite the superstar he promised to be was confounded in the Irish Champion stakes where he travelled well but never really picked up finishing a slightly sorry seventh. A drop back to a mile could suit though he will prefer better ground, which is unlikely at the end of October and he now cuts a figure of a once precocious type that has not really gone on through his three year old season.

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Churchill’s regular adversary, Barney Roy has proved himself a true group one horse but unless he learns to settle, will not fulfil his ample potential. Dropping back to this trip should see this free going sort in a better light but at current odds the likelihood is he will attempt ten furlongs once again and go for the Champion Stakes. With Winter also heading towards the Champion Stakes the classic generation’s best chance of taking this looks to be in the form of the progressive Beat The Bank and Andre Fabre’s Al Wukair.

Boasting a fantastic record, winning every one of his starts bar one, a below par effort in the Jersey Stakes at Royal Ascot, Beat The Bank has improved with every run culminating in a recent five length victory in the Joel Stakes at Newmarket. That performance was of group one standard and his upward curve potentially puts him on a par with Ribchester and not without a chance of deposing him as Europe’s top miler. A word of caution though, trainer Andrew Balding is wisely being very careful with his charge and sees 2018 as a big year for this son of Paco Boy so he is no certainty to run.

Al Wukair, third to Churchill in the English 2000 Guineas has had a light campaign having suffered from a twisted ankle earlier in the season. He made heavy weather when winning the Jacques Le Marois, just getting up form Inns Court and does not look the easiest of rides. That said he is talented and it would be no surprise to see master trainer Andre Fabre tease out a little more improvement from this three year old.

All in all an exciting spectacle, one that will be all the more mouth-watering if Winter and Barney Roy line up, but this is not a one horse race by any means and Ribchester will have to be at his very best to win his fifth group one.

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Quickened Clears Weekend Racing Tips!

1.50 Ascot

Just Glamorous and Momentofmadness should take them along at a fair pace ensuring a truly run race with both a little out of their depth on current form.  Just Glamorous on his 2016 form would have a good chance. Waady has obviously had problems but is the best horse in the race and took a step in the right direction at Newbury last time behind Take Cover. He is more than capable of winning this if near his best but 7/4 may be a little skinny. There are a three possible value options against Waady in Kyllang Rock, Sir Robert Cheval and Mirza. Mirza’s best years are behind him but he was a neck third in this last year so warrants respect, Sir Robert Cheval has done most of his winning in handicaps but goes very well at Ascot so is worth consideration while Kyllang Rock, gelded last month, is capable of winning at this level and the way he has finished his races over five furlongs at flat tracks like York, Haydock and Goodwood suggests this stiffer test could be perfect for him.

2.05 Newmarket

Rely On Me and Marie Of Lyon both figure prominently in the betting but this looks like it will be run at a furious pace which could be to the detriment of their chances. Near the head of the market and suited by the strong pace will be Eartha Kitt and assuming we can forgive her run over seven furlongs last time, should be the one to beat. A couple at bigger prices that catch the eye are Clear Water and Pixeleen. Clear Water, only a neck behind Rely On Me last time will be suited by the pace and with the ice cool Jamie Spencer holding her up at the back of the field is a tempting 25/1. Pixeleen only just lost out to Summer Chorus in this race last year and warmed up well when third at Bath two weeks ago, she is also appealing @ 16/1. Rosabelle and Rose Berry are interesting runners and should come into calculations but Kassia looks weighted up to her best and may struggle carrying nine stone ten pounds.

2.25 Ascot

Waldgeist is head and shoulders above this field having been second in the Fench Derby and a close fourth in the Irish version, his only possible undoing being a lack of pace. Nick Williams’ hurdler Flying Tiger, Danehill Kodiac and Secret Number are all potential leaders though none are out and out front runners. Secret Number is the most likeliest to serve it up to the favourite after a good third at Newbury but carries a penalty for his win in Turkey while Danehill Kodiac and Mick Quinn’s resurgent Great Hall can also challenge Waldgeist but realistically only have place claims. Law And Order could go well at a price but needs to improve to challenge the principals. Of the others Midterm is best avoided having been found wanting this year, Arthenus is talented but looks a tricky ride while Restorer is not good enough for this.

2.40 Newmarket

A big field for the Sun Chariot with plenty of connections fancying their chances in what, on current form looks quite an open race. Roly Poly sets the standard here and looks a good bet @ 5/1. Second to Winter in the Irish Guineas and Coronation Cup before a tenacious victory in the Prix Rothschild, she had a mid-season break returning in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown where she finished four lengths sixth, looking like she needed it. Aiden O’Brien often leaves plenty to work on after their comebacks and this looks like Roly Poly’s Autumn target and though she can go from the front, she has sat off the pace in the past with a strongly run race likely. Aljazzi has progressed well this season winning well at Sandown last time and more improvement puts her firmly in the picture here while Persuasive, ahead of Roly Poly in the Matron Stakes has a good chance but like Aljazzi, needs to improve again. You could throw a blanket over Qemah, Nathra, Arabian Hope and Siyoushake this year while Usherette is interesting, well below form this year she would be a serious player on her best 2016 form.

3.00 Ascot

Blue Point attempted to match the impressive Harry Angel in the Sprint Cup last time only giving way in the final furlong. He is a talented young sprinter, will find this easier and is the one to beat. Danzeno never runs a bad race at Ascot and along with Magical Memory, rate the biggest threats to Blue Point though Danzeno needs to find a few more pounds to catch the Godolphin sprinter. Magical Memory, a very talented horse in his own right seems to have stage fright at group one level but is much happier in this sort of company. If putting his best foot forward he would be a major contender in this. Kevin Ryan’s improving three year old Tommy Taylor should be respected but he needs to find more to be involved and the same can be said of Projection while Second Thought made a fair comeback at Newbury after a break, but it remains to be seen what his best trip on turf will be. Intisaab, on Quickened Clear’s ratings, would have a fair chance but his best achievements have come on a sound surface and the ground may well have gone against him.

3.20 Redcar

Twenty three two year olds hurtling along six furlongs at Redcar is never the easiest of puzzles to fathom and this looks one of the more open renewals. Darkanna understandably heads the market having come up short in higher level races, with this a seemingly easier opportunity but there is a slight concern that the way she has finished races suggests a step up in trip may benefit. Red Roman and Crownthorpe are closely matched in the betting but again have produced their best when given a stamina test and this is a fast six furlongs unless the ground comes up testing. Michael Bell’s Flying Sparkle defeated Hunni on her first start before finishing behind the well regarded Beauty Filly. She can improve again and looks to have a good chance @ 14/1. Hunni went on to win a nursery at Newmarket after her defeat by Flying Sparkle and can also go well @ 20/1. Hugo Palmer and Josephine Gordon can be a formidable team and though Never Back Down has not been seen since May, he has some good novice form and there is still plenty of potential there while John Kirkup could go well at a price.

3.35 Ascot

A typically competitive Ascot handicap, surprisingly lacking in pace. This could well be third time lucky for Mjjack @ 12/1 who should be able to dictate proceedings and after two valiant efforts over course and distance deserves to win one of these. On his quarters will be a big threat in Mojito, William Haggas’ improving three year old should be thereabouts under Jim Crowley though the 5/1 is fairly short. Makzeem produced a career best returning from a break last week at Newmarket and assuming there are no ill effects from such an effort also has a major chance.  Burnt Sugar has not looked back since joining Roger Fell and rates as a player while standing dish in these handicaps Withernsea should run his race. David O’Meara’s French imports are always to be feared and Lord Glitters is an interesting runner along with Flaming Spear who can be hard to catch right. The likes of Johnny Barnes, Straight Right and Raising Sand need a strong pace to be seen at their best and may struggle to quicken off what looks like being a steady pace.

 

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets:

Clear Water – 2.05 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 25/1

Pixeleen – 2.05 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 16/1

Roly Poly – 2.40 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 5/1

Flying Sparkle – 3.20 Redcar – 1pt win @ 14/1


Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on any race televised live on ITV Racing and you can have a risk free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next race broadcast live on ITV Racing. This offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.  

Back any single winner at 4/1 or more on any race televised live on ITV Racing and you can have a risk free bet to the same stake (up to £50) on the next race broadcast live on ITV Racing. This offer applies to the FIRST single bet placed by a customer on each race shown live on ITV Racing.

 

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Quickened Clear Saturday Racing Tips - Newmarket & Haydock

1.50 Newmarket

A fantastic line up at Newmarket this Saturday including three top class two year old races, starting with the Royal Lodge over a mile. Nelson sets the standard after a good win at Leopardstown last time and will attempt to lead pillar to post here. His resolute galloping from the front was quite taking and he will be hard to peg back. Herculean was impressive in his maiden win at Ascot, which reads well and looks the chief threat to Nelson @ 3/1. Roaring Lion should be considered and is open to improvement but is a little way behind the main two in terms of what he has achieved so far while Mildenberger will stay but is not quite up to this standard. Brian Meehan should always be respected when placing a two year old at this level and Petrus could go well @ 25/1.

2.05 Haydock

The quagmire that is Haydock in late September takes some ‘getting’ and it is best to look for horses who have handled similar conditions or at least soft going. There should be a decent pace on here with Muntadab, Florenza and Isomer likely to set strong fractions. Calder Prince is interesting and presuming he does not get involved in a battle on the front end looks well handicapped at a tempting 16/1. William Haggas looks like he will have a good day at Haydock and Original Choice @ 9/1 has a good chance with the only doubt the ground, but did handle soft as a two year old. This son of Dragon Pulse is improving, losing out only to Dan Troop at Chester last time, who went on to win again. Century Dream looked progressive before flopping at Ascot and bids to bounce back here though the 7/1 is a little skinny. King’s Pavillion makes more appeal for the in-form David Barron @ 12/1. He finished well behind Dan Troop at Chester, will go on the ground and has won at this level as a three year old. Others to consider if handling testing conditions are Just Hiss and Lord Of Rock after a good win at York last time.

2.20 Newmarket

The Cheveley Park Stakes is a much more competitive race than the Royal Lodge with more than half the field capable of winning. Clemmie is short @ 7/4, not seen since a good victory over Nyaleti in the Duchess Of Cambridge Stakes she was a non runner in the Moyglare due to the ground and with soft in the description here, doubts are cast. On Quickened Clear’s ratings Heartche and Different League set the standard. Heartache bounced back to form to take the Flying Childers from Havana Grey and six furlongs looks within her grasp with the 9/2 a good price. Different League was behind Havana Grey in the Prix Morny which leaves her something to find with Heartache but she can go well. Threading, with only two runs to her name, won the Lowther Stakes well from Madelaine and should be on the premises @ 9/2 with improvement likely. The form of the Dick Poole at Salisbury looks good and both Eirene and Special Purpose are no lost causes @ 25/1 though the latter looks in need of an extra furlong.

2.40 Haydock

Poet’s Society and Soie D’Leau should take them along at a good clip and both will be tough to pass unless they involve themselves in a protracted battle for the lead. Mayleaf Shine revels in these conditions and is the one to beat @ 11/2 after her defeat of Soie D’Leau over this course and distance last time. Paul Midgley, a master at unlocking potential in sprinters, looks to have found the key to Tarboosh and assuming he handles the ground is a big player @ 8/1. Bouncy, Richard Fahey’s three year old is starting to improve and could go well under Sammy Jo Bell but again questions about the ground have to be asked. Quench Dolly won well at Goodwood last time with the change to hold up tactics suiting and like Mayleaf Shine, is an improving three year old filly. She looks a definite threat to the favourite @ 8/1.

2.55 Newmarket

Like the Cheveley Park this looks a thrilling renewal and extremely competitive though it would be a surprise if the winner was not one of Sioux Nation, Unfortunately or Sands Of Mali. Sioux Nation followed up his Norfolk win with a good victory in the Pheonix Stakes at the Curragh defeating Beckford in what looks a strong race and should be on the premises. Beckford has plenty of ability but has looked a little one paced in both the Pheonix and National Stakes and may find it hard to turn the tables on Sioux Nation. Unfortunately, a ready winner of the Prix Morny defeating two decent types in Havana Grey and Different League may have more in the tank and should probably be favourite with the 9/2 tempting. Surprise winner of the Gimcrack, Sands Of Mali is a few pounds behind Sioux Nation and Unfortunately but is open to more improvement after a visually impressive win over recent Mill Reef second, Invincible Army. The third at York in the Gimcrack, Cardsharp, has since struggled against later developing types and of the others Frozen Angel, Hey Jonesy, U S Navy Flag, Danzan and Rajasinghe all have place claims.

 

3.15 Haydock

It is interesting that after not going for the Ayr Gold Cup Sainted does in fact go for the replacement race at a course and distance she likes. William Haggas’ chestnut filly, a sister to fair sprinter Telmeyd, has looked progressive this season and handles ground with give in it including heavy. She registered a figure good enough to win black type last time over course and distance and looks the one to beat @ 7/1. Ice Age will bid to win again after a good performance at the Curragh but will not get the run of the race and it will be a fair ask to run to that level again. Johnny Barnes will have his supporters and should go well again presuming he can reproduce the level of his Goodwood win while Shanghai Glory has major claims but has not encountered heavy going in his career to date. Haydock ‘heavy’ is very testing and along with Growl, Get Knotted, Kickboxer and Stake Acclaim, handling the ground is key though it would be no surprise to see any of the aforementioned winning this. Forgiving his run at York, Aeolus looks a serious challenger if reproducing his Stewards Cup run and six furlongs in these conditions could be just the ticket with the 10/1 tempting. Donjuan Triumphant should be on the shortlist though the nine stone ten pounds could scupper his chance while Mr Lupton is also interesting with his last two forays into handicap company resulting in victories, the 25/1 looks big.

3.35 Newmarket

It is never the easiest of tasks, deciphering the puzzle that is thirty five thoroughbreds thundering along nine furlongs of the Rowley Mile. The improving Thundering Surf swept down the outside at Sandown last time, which is no easy task and is an obvious contender but the 7/1 does not look value in such a big field. Brorocco won well seven days ago at Newbury and having won over this distance has to considered here though it is a quick turnaround. Big Country is short in the market but the suspicion is he wants a little further than nine furlongs, El Hayem does not want too much soft in the ground and Chelsea Lad has flattered to deceive at this level since being pulled up lame back in April. Horses that have run well in previous renewals are always worth consideration in the Cambridgeshire with the likes of GM Hopkins, Examiner, Master The World coming into calculations as does Very Talented. Absent since last October,  he won his side of the field last year and could go well again along the third Carry On Deryck. Godolphin also have Linguistic @ 25/1, with some decent form to his name, he could be lurking off a lenient mark as there may be more to come from this son of Lope De Vega. Others that catch the eye are Novoman @ 20/1, a comfortable winner at Goodwood last time and Qassam @ 20/1, who just finds ten furlongs stretching him so this trip should suit. Two others to consider are Henry Spiller’s Leader Writer and Battle Of Marathon at a big price.

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets:

Sainted – 3.15 Haydock – 1pt win @ 7/1

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Qatar Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe Betting Preview - Quickened Clear

1.10 Chantilly – Prix Marcel Boussac

Polydream is potentially a very smart filly and Freddy Head’s daughter of Oasis Dream could well be top class. Her victory at Deauville in August looks strong after the second, Laurens, won the May Hill at Doncaster and she is the one to beat. This looks an above average renewal with Ballydoyle sending over Magical who sets the standard on her Moyglare second. She will likely be able to dictate things from the front and be a tough nut to crack. Soustraction and Charlie Appleby’s Wild Illusion lock horns again with Soustraction looking the pick, though both need to improve to challenge Magical and Polydream. Zonza steps up markedly in trip and is talented while improvement is also required for Mission Impassable and Narella, though it is not beyond the realms of impossibility for either to take a hand in what is a very competitive race.

 

1.45 Chantilly – Prix Jean-Luc Legardere

We could see similar tactics to the first race with Ryan Moore likely to try to dominate from the front. Aiden O’Brien has made a bold move of throwing Happily in against the colts and she sets the standard on Quickened Clear’s ratings. Her form is closely linked to Magical so it will be interesting to see how her stablemate runs in the Prix Marcel Boussac at 1.10 but she looks another talented filly in the Ballydoyle ranks. Masar is the pick of the Godolphin entries but with softer ground likely it would not be a surprise to see him a non runner as he was pulled from his debut at York on good to soft but if taking his place deserves plenty of respect. Charlie Appleby’s other contender, Mythical Magic, who has ran well in France before needs to improve on his performance in the Champagne Stakes to be involved here. Olmedo looks the main threat from the home team after just failing to reel in Stage Magic over course and distance last time. He should improve again and could be the value against the British and Irish raiders. At a bigger price Francesco Bere is not without a chance but needs to find more improvement.

 

3.05 Chantilly – Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe

This race is all about John Gosden’s star filly Enable. Unbeaten since winning the Cheshire Oaks in May, this daughter of Nathaniel has added both the English and Irish Oaks, the King George VI and Queen Elizabeth Stakes and most recently the Yorkshire Oaks to her impressive profile. Her finest hour came when defeating Ulysses in the King George back in July at Ascot, putting four and a half lengths comfortably between them. That form was later strengthened by Ulysses who went on to win the Juddmonte International at York accounting for Barney Roy and Churchill. With wins on good to soft and fast ground she should handle softer conditions usually doing her best work at the end of races suggesting testing ground will hold no fears.

Ulysses brings strong credentials as mentioned previously and has done nothing but progress this year yet does need to convince over this distance at group one level, that said he is a strong traveller and the likely fast pace should suit him though testing ground may not. Enable and Ulysess represent a strong two pronged British attack on the French showpiece and there is also a typically elite contingent travelling over from the Emerald Isle.

The Ballydoyle battalions have a host of potential runners to choose from including 2016 third Order Of St George who again has place claims but will likely be outpaced at a trip slightly short of his best though heavy ground could make him a player. Idaho is similar in that he will be doing his best work at the finish and also has place claims while Seventh Heaven prefers quicker conditions. The more interesting of Aiden O’Brien’s challengers are Winter and Capri. Winter, another classy filly, proved that soft ground and ten furlongs are no problem for her and though this is another step up in trip, one cannot rule her out. She is defying her pedigree somewhat, out of Laddies Poker Two, a fair sprinter by Choisir, also a sprinter, the stamina seems to be coming from her sire, the mighty Galileo. It is a leap of faith to back her with the trip an unknown but like Enable, she does receive the three year old fillies’ allowance which gives her a fighting chance on the ratings. St Leger winners are not known for their victories in the Arc but Capri, also an Irish Derby winner, was successful in what looked a strong race at Doncaster and like Winter, could put up some value against Enable.

The French challenge looks a little weak this year with Cloth Of Stars and Zarak similar in ability but likely not good enough to win this. Closely matched on their neck finish in the Prix Ganay back in May, both are talented horses without being superstars and a placed finish looks the best they can hope for. A more interesting contender from the home guard is Jean-Claude Rouget’s Brametot, a dual group one winner who needs to bounce back after a disappointing effort at Deauville. The way he finished his race in the Prix Du Jockey Club, aligned with his dam, a half-sister to Monsun, gives us every reason to believe he will stay a mile and a half and offers another value alternative to the favourite.

Progressive German representative Dschingis Secret certainly has claims and recent form reads well with some useful scalps to his name, not least Godolphin’s Hawkbill and Cloth Of Stars. With soft ground and any more rain a plus, he can take a hand in this. Winning this illustrious group one seems beyond the rest of the field while the Japanese raiders, who love taking aim at this race look way short of what is needed to figure in a race of this quality.

 

3.50 Chantilly – Prix de l’Opera

A wide open race with numerous in with chances. With Hydrangea not suited by conditions Ballydoyle’s main hope is Rhododendron. A winner on softer ground as a two year old before a second to Winter in the Guineas and then Enable in the Oaks, Rhododendron is a classy filly but bled when pulled up at Chantilly in June, which is a worry. She returned with a fair effort in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown and if Aiden O’Brien has her at peak fitness she has to be considered. Lacazar is an interesting runner for Germany with the strength of her Oaks win at Dusseldorf, where she had Godolphin’s Wuheida behind her, looking fairly strong. She should not be ruled out. Senga, who took the Prix de Diane over course and distance would have a big chance in the unlikely event of good ground as both her starts on softer have been below par, with the same applying to Queen’s Trust and Left Hand who would both like drying conditions. Onthemoonagain, who fell in the Prix de Diane when travelling well, may need further than this but should be doing her best work at the finish while Shamreen should benefit from conditions and could go well from the front for Dermot Weld. At a bigger price is The Black Princess who can be forgiven her run last time, has some fair form to her name and is a course and distance winner.

 

4.35 Chantilly – Prix de l’Abbaye

A fast and furious five furlong dash which can often throw an outsider up at a price. Battash and Marsha look the main two protagonists on form but one can pick holes in their credentials. Marsha, gave a huge effort to collar Lady Aurelia on the line at York in the Nunthorpe and it is another big ask for this filly to reproduce or better that performance. That said she is the best horse in the race on ratings and won this last year. Battash threw his chance away at York, getting worked up in the preliminaries when fancied to go close and he has to overcome an intense atmosphere in Chantilly, not to mention the travelling he has done prior, though he is a top class sprinter on his day. Signs Of Blessing will love softer conditions and warmed up well defeating solid yardstick Finsbury Square at Deauville, he could capitalise on any below par runs from the favourites. Finsbury Square along with Son Cesio and Duke Of Firenze ran well in this last year so it is reasonable to expect good performances again form the trio and they all have place claims. Profitable is a quality sprinter on his day given soft ground and has the ability to win this while Alphabet has been second to the top class Caravaggio and Quiet Reflection on her last two starts and could go well on ground she will like. 

 

5.15 Chantilly – Prix de la Foret

Acclaim has improved with age and his victory in the Park Stakes at Doncaster, against some good types, was done in a manner of a top class seven furlong horse. His form is tied in with Brando who defeated him in the Prix Maurice de Gheest but Brando ran no sort of race last time at Haydock and the fact he bled earlier in the season at York causes concern about producing consistent performances. That said he is more than capable of winning this on his day. The main French defence consists of Zelzal and Karar. Zelzal has not reproduced the form of his impressive early three year old career, drops back to seven furlongs and is probably best watched on ground softer than ideal though jockey Gregory Benoist chooses him over Karar. Karar, gelded in August, made a winning return over course and distance showing improved form. Second in this race to Limato last year when attempting to make all, a similar scenario is likely to unfold and he rates a serious threat to Acclaim if allowed free reign. The main Godolphin representative Toscanini, is one who could spring a surprise after flashing home over this trip at York and is a talented horse but would not want the ground too soft while fellow British raiders Realtra and So Beloved are not without a chance.


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Quickened Clears Live ITV Friday Tips

1.50 Newmarket

This looks as though it will revolve around Muffri’Ha and Amabilis. Course and distance Muffri’Ha sets a good standard but two doubts hang over William Haggas’ filly: She has not been since May when running below form behind Somehow in the Dahlia Stakes and she is better on a sound surface. Amabilis on the other hand looks progressive, relished good to soft conditions at Ascot last time and is finally fulfilling the promise she showed as a juvenile. She rates the one to beat the value @ 5/1. Lincoln Rocks has had a very good season and though she struggled at Sandown last time David O’Meara’s admirable front runner will likely dictate proceedings and could be dangerous if allowed to do so. In terms of ability On Her Toes, Tisbutadream and Mittens are closely matched but to take a hand in this need Muffri’Ha and Amabalis not to perform while Luca Cumani’s French import Good Way Off, with improvement to come, could run a big race @ 20/1.

 

2.25 Newmarket

Mori will be all the rage here but after her flop at York on rain softened ground, she may well be one to side step. The improving Fleur Forsyte has strong claims beating solid yardstick More Mischief at York and looks a fair bet @ 9/2. Elas Ruby has performed well in races across the channel at Deauville and Saint Cloud and will likely provide the main threat to Fleur Forsyte. Elbereth is top rated on official figures but this six year old is a little exposed now and susceptible to younger improving types. To Eternity won her first start of the season with an enterprising ride from James Doyle and could be dangerous again if allowed to be unopposed on the front end, back against her own sex while Apphia looks in need of further and Isabel De Urbina’s form looks to have plateaued.

 

3.00 Newmarket

An intriguing renewal of the Rockfel Stakes and it looks a fairly open contest. Nyaleti was out stayed over a mile at Doncaster and even though she drops back to seven furlongs here, this typical Mark Johnston battler may find one too good and is looking a little exposed now. Potential improvers lurk behind Nyaleti with both Lightening Quick and Gavota the unknown quantities and could be anything. Butterscotch obviously has to be respected stepping up to seven furlongs having found six furlongs on the sharp side when finishing behind Clemmie in July. Juliet Capulet and Capomento are closely matched and should not be ruled out, with the latter capable of better after being a little disappointing in France behind Laurens and the potentially smart Polydream. Capomento may be worth a little bet @ 14/1.

 

3.35 Newmarket

Andrew Balding could well have a group one contender in Beat The Bank who has comfortably dealt with listed and group three opponents of late and should continue his progression towards a tilt at the QEII by taking this at a fair price of 5/2. Zonderland ran a cracker in the Celebration Mile after a layoff and presuming that has not left a mark on Clive Cox’s four year old he should rate the chief threat along with Sir John Lavery. Touted as a Derby hope Sir John Lavery’s three year old campaign stuttered after poor runs at Lingfield and Ascot before a drop back to a mile rejuvenated this son of Galileo. He may need conditions testing to be competitive at a mile but with Whitecliffsofdover forcing the pace it could make it enough of a stamina test for him, though he may prove to be suited by nine or ten furlongs in the future. Sovereign Debt and Jallota will no doubt run their races but are vulnerable to improvers while Mustashry needs to find a bit more on Quickened Clear’s figures but is improving and could go close. Mike De Kock won this race twice in the last ten years and fellow South African trainer Brett Crawford saddles Whisky Baron, an interesting runner @ 20/1.

 

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets

Amabilis – 1.50 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 5/1

Fleur Forsyte – 2.25 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 9/2

Beat The Bank – 3.35 Newmarket – 2pt win @ 5/2

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Quickened Clear Saturday ITV Racing Tips - Newbury & Newmarket

2.00 Newmarket

The highly tried Crowned Eagle, a half-brother to Eagle Top and Wings Of Desire, could be very dangerous if allowed to dictate proceedings though he is fairly high in the weights for what he has achieved and needs to improve to fend off one or two of these. First Nation has performed well in top twelve furlong handicaps this summer and the drop back in trip could bring about more improvement and should track Crowned Eagle into the race with the slight doubt a poor run on his only visit to Newmarket. City Of Joy should relish the step up in trip and has been crying out for it but is often slowly away and could find it hard to make up ground in will likely be a sedately run race. The same applies to Sandown winner Jupiter Light who will need to quicken at the business end but should go well.  Ay Ay is an interesting contender @ 10/1 , this free going sort could play a hand in the finish if settling better under Tom Queally.

2.15 Newbury

This is a big field for the Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup with Second Step looking the only one likely to take them along. That plays into Jamie Spencer’s hands somewhat and rates him the one to beat @ 4/1. David Simcock has trained the winner of this race the last two years so Desert Encounter warrants respect as does Dylan Mouth, a good winner of the Old Newton Cup at Haydock in July but has not been seen since which is a slight worry. The talented pair of My Dream Boat and Across The Stars have both looked a little reluctant this season and may benefit from a step up to staying races, they could find it all happening too fast when things quicken from a slow pace. That could play into the hands of the rejuvenated ten furlong horse Fabricate, stepping up a furlong but with confidence high, should go well @ 11/1. Scarlet Dragon @ 8/1 is another to consider having confirmed himself a group performer over twelve furlongs this season and trainer Eve Johnson Houghton loves nothing more than a winner at Newbury.

2.35 Newmarket

A very intriguing fillies’ handicap with plenty of potential improvers and well bred types. Though some of these have made all from the front in small fields there doesn’t seem to be any out and out front runners so it could pay to race fairly prominently. Cribbs Causeway is the most exposed of the leading contenders with Roger Charlton taking the blame for her poor run at Haydock but she sets a fair standard. Three master trainers of fillies, Luca Cumani, William Haggas and Hughie Morrison all have potential improvers and their runners have to be respected. Star Rock @ 9/2 looks the most interesting of these having defeated God Given back in May who went on to win a listed race at Newmarket before a group three in France. That looks strong maiden form though fitness could be an issue. Vuela for Luca Cumani is very well bred but has not been that convincing on track as yet and is quite lightly raced for a four year old while Tarte Tropezienne should improve again from her run at Bath but needs to. Lady Bergamot looks progressive for James Fanshawe and still well handicapped, she could go well @ 4/1 after a fair win at Goodwood over White Chocolate.

2.50 Newbury

The Mill Reef has produced top class Group One horses in the last two renewals in the form of Ribchester and Harry Angel.  One to continue that trend could well be Enjazaat @ 9/2. Highly regarded by trainer Owen Burrows he defeated a good yardstick in Tip Two Win at Ripon last time and on our figures could be very good indeed. The chief threats look to come from James Garfield, who has found seven furlongs stretching him and Invincible Army, who is not top class but more than capable at this level. Nebo and Lansky both have similar profiles in that they look suited by seven furlongs or further and have place claims while No I’m Easy is an interesting runner for Tom Dascombe and could go well at 20/1.

3.10 Newmarket

A very competitive Cesarewitch Trial which will be a true test of stamina with numerous front runners entered. Top National Hunt trainers Alan King, Nigel Twiston-Davies and Phillip Hobbs are all represented with Couer De Lion, Who Dares Wins and Sternrubin, a nine length winner at Ffos Las, interesting contenders. The Graduate is another to hail from a top hunt yard and like Sternrubin catches the eye though he has been less than convincing on both hurdle runs this season. Oriental Fox, a previous winner of this race warrants a second look while stablemate Time To Study looks up against it at the weights following his victory last week. Shrewd ran a more pleasing race behind Time To Study, keeping on nicely in the race at Doncaster and was third in this race a year ago when effectively twelve pounds higher. He could be the value @ 14/1 while Taws could go well @ 12/1 after returning to form with back to back victories.  

3.25 Newbury

Another competitive handicap and this twenty runner affair is a tough nut to crack. Curlew River and Teodoro look like setting the pace along with Al Neksh which could set it up for something coming from off the pace. Teodoro must be mentioned again and if not wasting energy duelling for the lead is a big, rangy progressive type who could go well @ 11/1. The likes of Banksea, Fidaawy and Eddystone Rock have been plying their trade in top handicaps this season and deserve utmost respect but there may be one or two lurking further down the weights offering more value. Anythingtoday should enjoy dropping back to ten furlongs and could be just that @ 16/1 while Silver Ghost may have gone closer last time in what looked a good Sandown handicap if Charles Bishop had not dropped his whip at the finish and should go well here @ 12/1.

 

4.00 Newbury

The admirable ten year old Take Cover is consistent at this level and the one to beat @ 6/1. A case can be made for the likes of Caspian Prince, Thesme and Just Glamourous to harry Take Cover and make him over race but on numerous occasions he has just been too fast for others to get near him. If the aforementioned scenario does happen, that brings in the closers such as 2016 winner Cotai Glory, hard to win with, the race he won last year was much weaker than this renewal but he should be finishing well while Irish raider Hit The Bid could go well at @ 16/1. Hamdan Al Maktoum is double handed with Muthmir and Waady. Muthmir has a penalty to contend with but it is interesting that Jim Crowley has opted to ride him instead of Waady, who continues his comeback after missing most of 2016. Both need to improve or a little or find more to be involved here.  

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets:

Enjazaat – 2.50 Newbury – 1pt win @ 9/2

Shrewd – 3.10 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 14/1

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Quickened Clear's Three to Follow!

It is a big day this Saturday on the West Coast of Scotland as Ayr’s Western Meeting culminates with the Ayr Gold Cup, supported on ITV Racing by a good card at Newbury including the Mill Reef. Here are three horses (if they run!) to keep half an eye on……..

Sainted (110++) – Ayr Gold Cup - 16/1
William Haggas’ chestnut filly, a sister to fair sprinter Telmeyd, has looked progressive this season on ground with give in it and registered a figure good enough to win black type last time at Haydock. That will obviously be the target in the near future but the lure of of £130,000 to the winner of the Ayr Gold Cup may just be too tempting for connections, though she needs one to come out at declarations on Thursday. At home over six or seven furlongs, Sainted has the perfect profile of a winner of this race and with improvement likely, will be a much shorter price than the 16/1 currently available, presuming she gets in at the bottom of the weights.

Fabricate (113++) – Dubai Duty Free Legacy Cup stakes (formerly the Arc Trial) - 13/2
Has had his problems but since Michael Bell dropped him back to ten furlongs Fabricate has been much improved, clocking a career best last time at Windsor. The worry has to be the extra furlong at Newbury on Saturday, especially if conditions become testing, but rejuvenated and with confidence high, the way he travelled at Haydock in the Old Newton Cup suggests eleven furlongs is within his compass.

Teodoro (105++) – Dubai Duty Free Handicap - 14/1
Winner of his last three races, Tom Dascombe’s big, rangy three year old has progressed well since dropping back to ten furlongs and has relaxed with the fitting of a hood. This son of Teofilo looks 'well in' on our figures given more improvement, Newbury will suit and though he is only raced on good or faster his half brother, Altruistic, handled softer. There is every reason to believe he can go well here and have a good Autumn, possibly contesting group races though that may come in 2018.


Massive thanks to Quickened Clear for providing these tips. You can check out their website by clicking here! 


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Saturday Live ITV Racing - Tipster League Tips

1.50 Doncaster

Vibrant Chords is the obvious contender here, equally adept at five or six furlongs this improving four year old is a worthy favourite though it is interesting to note we have only had one winner from a single figure draw in the last ten years and there may be better value to be had elsewhere. Like Vibrant Chords, Merlin and Evernote are drawn low and aligned with the fact three year olds do not have a good record in this, they are best watched, while Harry Hurricane and Compas Scoobie could go well from the far side. Now we have ruled out those drawn low you can guarantee there will be one, two, three from the far side!!! Spring Loaded ran well at Chester but this is a much tougher race and he is not quite the same horse on turf, though the trip should suit and he may finish well. Lexington Abbey is hard to get right and seems a Nottingham specialist while Lancelot Du Lac has to carry plenty of weight after his Steward’s Cup win. Two worth looking at are Momentofmadness @ 14/1 and Stake Acclaim @ 12/1. Momentofmadness would have been closer at York over this trip if the blindfold had been removed faster and has the champion jockey Jim Crowley taking the mount. Stake Acclaim is pretty versatile over five or six furlongs, has won at Doncaster previously and the team of Dean Ivory and Robert Winston are always to be respected in big handicaps.

2.05 Chester

A very tough nursery handicap to fathom with favourite Viscount Loftus not certain to take part with the ground likely to be very testing. Another fancied runner, Harrogate, has improved with every run but has to overcome stall nine which would be no mean feat at Chester. This could go to one at a price as it may come down to who handles conditions the best and those drawn low must be considered including Porchy Party, Falabelle, Mable Lee, Mr Greenlight and Angel Force, but this really is a race best watched.

2.25 Doncaster

Home Of The Brave should be allowed his own way up front and that makes him a dangerous proposition @ 7/2 with James Doyle dictating the fractions. Spirit Of Valour should be on the heels of Home Of The Brave and will likely be best placed to challenge with the 10/1 value. This son of War Front should be happier on a more conventional track after disappointing at Goodwood. This is Acclaim’s best trip and he seems better than ever after a second in the Prix Maurice de Gheest and rates the biggest threat to Home Of The Brave but may find it hard to make up ground unless ridden more prominently. The same can be said of Breton Rock and Sir Dancealot, who will be held up at the back and need to find more to win this.

2.40 Chester

My Reward will be dangerous again if allowed an easy lead but this is his toughest assignment yet and with a penalty, on testing ground, may just find one too good here. Duretto, not seen since May has been waiting for softer conditions and this looks a good opportunity to start an Autumn campaign but is farily short @ 7/4. Improving with age Andrew Balding’s five year old may still have more to offer and connections will be eyeing bigger prizes than this over the coming months. Soldier In Action can be difficult to catch right almost running a good race, then a lacklustre one, but has course form and can be competitive if producing his best. He should be tracking My Reward and rates the biggest danger to the favourite. Across The Stars has been very disappointing after a promising season last year, gelded in June and fitted with a hood last time at Windsor, he got no run whatsoever but still has questions to answer with the 11/4 too short a price. Ralph Beckett won this last year with Mountain Bell and saddles Rich Legacy here with the slight drop in grade likely to aid her though the ground may have gone against her having struggled twice in softer conditions.

3.00 Doncaster

This looks a really competitive renewal of the Champagne Stakes with numerous in with chances. Mythical Magic heads the market after a comfortable win in France but that race may not have been the strongest and with his trainer’s record in this, should be bang there @ 5/2. Dream Today was an impressive winner of a maiden at York that has already thrown up a good winner in Laugh A Minute who took the Weatherby’s two year old race earlier in the week. He should be thereabouts @ 7/2 but this could be a real test of stamina with Mythical Magic, Dream Today and Hey Gaman, a game winner of the Washington Singer, all likely to force the pace. This could set things up for Red Mist, who needed every yard of the seven furlongs when just touched off by Hey Gaman at Newbury with a strong pace likely to suit and could be worth a bet @ 4/1. Mandelssohn is a bit of an unknown and it will be interesting to see if there is any support in the market.

3.15 Chester

Quite a difficult one to call as Gabrial The Tiger and Calder Prince have run on Friday and are best avoided even if turning up the second day running. Kenstone is unlikely to turn up and if he does the ground has gone against him which should leave the improving Dan Troop a clear favourite so the 5/1 available is a touch big. The form of his win over course and distance in July may not have been the strongest but with Connor Murtagh claiming seven pounds and the promise of more to come, he will surely take the beating. King’s Pavillion won well at Carlisle last time and will need to find more with the six pound penalty but will handle the ground. Second to King’s Pavillion was Instant Attraction who is very well handicapped on old form, will like conditions but is not the easiest to win with and a place may be a more realistic outcome for Jedd O’Keefe’s six year old. Ice Slice has a good draw but would not want it this soft while Shouranour can go well at a price back on ground he loves.

3.35 Doncaster

An intriguing last Classic of the season. Capri seemingly not one of the main contenders for Ballydoyle when a fair sixth in the Epsom Derby appearing to not handle the course, stepped up on that form with a tenacious effort to hold on and defeat Cracksman and Wings Of Eagles in the Irish version. Should stay and has to be respected coming out top on the figures, with any rain in his favour. Venice Beach, the second string, was put in his place by an impressive Cracksman last time in the Great Voltigeur, a good trial for this race, but has some solid form and may well improve for a step up to the Leger trip and cannot be totally ruled out at a big 12/1. John Gosden has two contenders in Stradivarius and Coronet with Frankie Dettori opting for the latter. Stradivarius has not looked back since moving up to staying distances, winning a strong looking Queen’s Vase at Royal Ascot before defeating Gold Cup winner Big Orange in the Goodwood Cup. This son of Sea The Stars won his last two starts in a manner that suggests we have not seen the best of him with improvement likely. There is doubt about the ground but his Goodwood win was on good with good to soft patches and if Doncaster doesn’t get a deluge, could be value @ 15/2. Coronet shapes like she will stay this trip and must be respected but will need a strongly run race to be seen at her best. Crystal Ocean, visually impressive in the Gordon Stakes when defeating Khalidi and like many in the family will stay well, but the race he won did not look to have much strength in depth and this improving type will have to find more to be competitive. The same applies to Defoe unbeaten this season, moving through the ranks from handicaps to a Group Three culminating in a cosy victory at Newbury, defeating Frontiersman and Wall Of Fire. Difficult to know how much more there is to come and like Crystal Ocean needs to improve again to figure in this, though jockey Andrea Atzeni described him as a better horse than 2014 St Leger winner Kingston Hill. Of the other Raheen House looks the most likely to go well and has clearly been aimed at this since his win in the Bahrain Trophy Stakes while Rekindling, Count Octave and Douglas Macarthur have place claims.

Quickened Clear’s Best Bets

Dan Troop – 3.15 Chester – 1pt win @ 5/1

Stradivarius – 3.35 Doncaster – 1pt win @ 15/2


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St Leger Friday Quickened Clear Tips

1.50 Doncaster

Only one winner in the last ten years has been older than three years old though that did occur last year with Roger Varian’s Spangled, ironically in the same colours as fancied four year old, Eternally. A free going type, Eternally will not get her own way up front and needs to find more to win this. The 4/1 does not look value. There is a similar price about Talaayeb, winner of a competitive City Of York Stakes but she only just held on and did not run up to her Guineas form when fourth to Winter in May. Music Box has been running well but is a little exposed now while Unforgettable Filly has performed admirably this summer and though we haven’t seen her since June, she is maybe a little big @ 10/1. Roger Varian has taken this race the last twice and could well make it three in a row with the steadily improving Tomyris. She stayed on well over a sharp seven furlongs at Goodwood behind Al Jazi and Eternally with this galloping track, along with a good pace, likely playing to her strengths making the 13/2 tempting.

2.25 Doncaster

This does look a two horse race with Pursuing The Dream unlikely to have enough improvement to trouble Havana Grey and Heartache. Heartache, with Ryan Moore booked, was impressive at Royal Ascot and though that form is not the strongest, was a little unlucky in France last time. Havana Grey meanwhile, has been top class over five furlongs on differing ground, only losing out last time in the Prix Morny over an extra furlong. May Girl makes a quick turnaround after winning a novice race at York and could be value for a place bet.

3.00 Doncaster

Little or no pace on here which should allow Time To Study to dictate things and in a typical Mark Johnston trained style, will take some passing @ 7/2. Byron Flyer aided by cheekpieces should be ideally placed to make a move, with the drop back in trip likely to suit and should be challenging @ 4/1. Pengali Pavillion ran a cracker on his first start on these shores since 2016 behind Magic Circle at York and if going for home earlier, could be the value @ 13/2. The dreaded ‘bounce factor’ has to be taken into account following such a good effort after a break and may struggle to repeat the form. Elidor, Shrewd, Seamour and Lord George will have to attempt to quicken off a slow pace and may just get caught on heels when the action unfolds.

3.35 Doncaster

Previous winners Sheikhzayedroad and Pallasator have not been at their best this year, Sheikhzayedroad showed a little more last time at York while Pallasator is now fitted with cheekpieces and Rosie Jessop takes the mount, his regular rider at home, she will attempt to get the best out of this quirky son of Motivator. Desert Skyline has performed well since trying staying trips but this race is tough for a three year old and it will take a mighty effort to win this. Montaly deserves respect but will have to defy the penalty for a surprise win in the Lonsdale Cup at York and will need High Jinx to set a strong pace once again. Ryan Moore rode Thomas Hobson brilliantly at Royal Ascot, holding onto him as long as possible and if ridden like that again may well be worth a bet @ 11/2.

Quickened Clear’s Best Bet
Thomas Hobson – 3.35 Doncaster – 1pt win @ 11/2

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