Just Glamorous and Momentofmadness should take them along at a fair pace ensuring a truly run race with both a little out of their depth on current form. Just Glamorous on his 2016 form would have a good chance. Waady has obviously had problems but is the best horse in the race and took a step in the right direction at Newbury last time behind Take Cover. He is more than capable of winning this if near his best but 7/4 may be a little skinny. There are a three possible value options against Waady in Kyllang Rock, Sir Robert Cheval and Mirza. Mirza’s best years are behind him but he was a neck third in this last year so warrants respect, Sir Robert Cheval has done most of his winning in handicaps but goes very well at Ascot so is worth consideration while Kyllang Rock, gelded last month, is capable of winning at this level and the way he has finished his races over five furlongs at flat tracks like York, Haydock and Goodwood suggests this stiffer test could be perfect for him.
Rely On Me and Marie Of Lyon both figure prominently in the betting but this looks like it will be run at a furious pace which could be to the detriment of their chances. Near the head of the market and suited by the strong pace will be Eartha Kitt and assuming we can forgive her run over seven furlongs last time, should be the one to beat. A couple at bigger prices that catch the eye are Clear Water and Pixeleen. Clear Water, only a neck behind Rely On Me last time will be suited by the pace and with the ice cool Jamie Spencer holding her up at the back of the field is a tempting 25/1. Pixeleen only just lost out to Summer Chorus in this race last year and warmed up well when third at Bath two weeks ago, she is also appealing @ 16/1. Rosabelle and Rose Berry are interesting runners and should come into calculations but Kassia looks weighted up to her best and may struggle carrying nine stone ten pounds.
Waldgeist is head and shoulders above this field having been second in the Fench Derby and a close fourth in the Irish version, his only possible undoing being a lack of pace. Nick Williams’ hurdler Flying Tiger, Danehill Kodiac and Secret Number are all potential leaders though none are out and out front runners. Secret Number is the most likeliest to serve it up to the favourite after a good third at Newbury but carries a penalty for his win in Turkey while Danehill Kodiac and Mick Quinn’s resurgent Great Hall can also challenge Waldgeist but realistically only have place claims. Law And Order could go well at a price but needs to improve to challenge the principals. Of the others Midterm is best avoided having been found wanting this year, Arthenus is talented but looks a tricky ride while Restorer is not good enough for this.
A big field for the Sun Chariot with plenty of connections fancying their chances in what, on current form looks quite an open race. Roly Poly sets the standard here and looks a good bet @ 5/1. Second to Winter in the Irish Guineas and Coronation Cup before a tenacious victory in the Prix Rothschild, she had a mid-season break returning in the Matron Stakes at Leopardstown where she finished four lengths sixth, looking like she needed it. Aiden O’Brien often leaves plenty to work on after their comebacks and this looks like Roly Poly’s Autumn target and though she can go from the front, she has sat off the pace in the past with a strongly run race likely. Aljazzi has progressed well this season winning well at Sandown last time and more improvement puts her firmly in the picture here while Persuasive, ahead of Roly Poly in the Matron Stakes has a good chance but like Aljazzi, needs to improve again. You could throw a blanket over Qemah, Nathra, Arabian Hope and Siyoushake this year while Usherette is interesting, well below form this year she would be a serious player on her best 2016 form.
Blue Point attempted to match the impressive Harry Angel in the Sprint Cup last time only giving way in the final furlong. He is a talented young sprinter, will find this easier and is the one to beat. Danzeno never runs a bad race at Ascot and along with Magical Memory, rate the biggest threats to Blue Point though Danzeno needs to find a few more pounds to catch the Godolphin sprinter. Magical Memory, a very talented horse in his own right seems to have stage fright at group one level but is much happier in this sort of company. If putting his best foot forward he would be a major contender in this. Kevin Ryan’s improving three year old Tommy Taylor should be respected but he needs to find more to be involved and the same can be said of Projection while Second Thought made a fair comeback at Newbury after a break, but it remains to be seen what his best trip on turf will be. Intisaab, on Quickened Clear’s ratings, would have a fair chance but his best achievements have come on a sound surface and the ground may well have gone against him.
Twenty three two year olds hurtling along six furlongs at Redcar is never the easiest of puzzles to fathom and this looks one of the more open renewals. Darkanna understandably heads the market having come up short in higher level races, with this a seemingly easier opportunity but there is a slight concern that the way she has finished races suggests a step up in trip may benefit. Red Roman and Crownthorpe are closely matched in the betting but again have produced their best when given a stamina test and this is a fast six furlongs unless the ground comes up testing. Michael Bell’s Flying Sparkle defeated Hunni on her first start before finishing behind the well regarded Beauty Filly. She can improve again and looks to have a good chance @ 14/1. Hunni went on to win a nursery at Newmarket after her defeat by Flying Sparkle and can also go well @ 20/1. Hugo Palmer and Josephine Gordon can be a formidable team and though Never Back Down has not been seen since May, he has some good novice form and there is still plenty of potential there while John Kirkup could go well at a price.
A typically competitive Ascot handicap, surprisingly lacking in pace. This could well be third time lucky for Mjjack @ 12/1 who should be able to dictate proceedings and after two valiant efforts over course and distance deserves to win one of these. On his quarters will be a big threat in Mojito, William Haggas’ improving three year old should be thereabouts under Jim Crowley though the 5/1 is fairly short. Makzeem produced a career best returning from a break last week at Newmarket and assuming there are no ill effects from such an effort also has a major chance. Burnt Sugar has not looked back since joining Roger Fell and rates as a player while standing dish in these handicaps Withernsea should run his race. David O’Meara’s French imports are always to be feared and Lord Glitters is an interesting runner along with Flaming Spear who can be hard to catch right. The likes of Johnny Barnes, Straight Right and Raising Sand need a strong pace to be seen at their best and may struggle to quicken off what looks like being a steady pace.
Quickened Clear’s Best Bets:
Clear Water – 2.05 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 25/1
Pixeleen – 2.05 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 16/1
Roly Poly – 2.40 Newmarket – 1pt win @ 5/1
Flying Sparkle – 3.20 Redcar – 1pt win @ 14/1