YourHorseTipster- Grand National Guest Blog
Thirty fences, forty runners with four miles, two furlongs and seventy-four yards to negotiate. It can only be the Grand National. We have produced a preview to one of the most famous horse races in the world to help you narrow down the field and hopefully find the winner.
As it stands with the withdrawal of Vics Canvas we should potentially have the Irish National winner (Rogue Angel) who was 41st in the weights but will now be guaranteed a run and the Scottish National winner in Vicente. Native River, the winner of last years Welsh National is giving the rest of the season a miss after his gallant third in the Gold Cup last month but was unlikely to run in this years National anyway. Rule The World will not defend his crown after being retired only a month after last years win. Vicente stands a good chance and since his Scottish National win has been purchased by Trevor Hemmings, who has won this race 3 times since 2002. He arrives here in poor form so although trained solely for this race, he is tough to have maximum faith in. That also applies to Rogue Angel who will appreciate the ground drying out and represents last years winning owner and trainer.
HEAD OF THE BETTING
Vieux Lion Rouge currently heads the market and has ran well over these famous fences before, finishing seventh in last years renewal (now carries 6lbs higher) and after winning the Becher Chase in December. He may prefer slightly softer ground than he is likely to experience but should still be considered a threat. Also prominent in the betting is the Northern trained duo of Definitly Red and One For Arthur, trained by Brian Ellison and Lucinda Russell respectively. The former won the Rowland Meyrick handicap chase at Wetherby on Boxing Day last year, and the Grimthorpe handicap chase (a race last years National runner up The Last Samurai also won). But Definitly Red's form in races with 14+ runners reads a disappointing 2, PU, 7, PU, 2, F, UR which is a worry for a race of this competitive nature. The Lucinda Russell trained One For Arthur is a horse quietly fancied this year by numerous tipsters and has been backed accordingly, his trainer has hit a purple patch recently and Derek Fox gets on particularly well with this gallant stayer and his victory in a Grade 3 handicap chase at Warwick last time further enhanced this stamina trait and his love of jumping fences, yet to fall or be pulled up in 10 chase runs. The only worry is the lack of experience he possesses compared to many of his rivals.
It's a very open renewal as always but three horses currently catch our eye;
BLAKLION, is currently around the 14/1 mark but if handling the trip he could prove very good value for the Nigel Twiston-Davies stable. A former RSA chase winner at the Cheltenham festival, his handicap form this season has worked well and he has a 3lbs weights pull with Vieux Lion Rouge on his Haydock form.
THE YOUNG MASTER, likely to be ridden by Aintree specialist Sam Waley-Cohen continues to exceed expectations. Starting his chasing career off a handicap mark of just 121 he has improved 27lbs and last years Bet365 Gold Cup winner at Sandown has been campaigned for this race and his 6th in the Ultima Handicap Chase is not bad form. Again his stamina is yet to be proven but as of yet has improved for every stamina test he has been given.
Finally, MEASUREOFMYDREAMS has been aimed at longer trips since last season. He contested the 4 mile Novice chase at the Cheltenham 2016 festival where he finished an impressive 3rd that day. Last April he then ran in the Scottish National where he was well backed and went off 8-1 favourite but unfortunately fell at the 3rd fence. At 50-1 NRNB with many bookmakers he is surely worth a small each way bet knowing that he is likely to stay the trip should his jumping hold up.
Blaklion @ 14-1
The Young Master @ 20-1
Measureofmydreams @ 50-1
Good luck and enjoy the great spectacle.
Article by yourhorsetipster.com
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