St Leger Thursday Quickened Clear Tips
A tricky, small field fillies’ nursery to kick things off on ITV Racing with Clubbable and The Mums vying for favouritism. Clubbable looks the one to beat on our figures and could well have too much for this field but she has not had the pace to win a stiff six furlongs at Hamilton and though this is an extra half furlong, it is a flat track and the worry may be she wants even further. The Mums won well last time under hands and heels with clearly more to offer, but carrying top weight does make life a touch difficult and she was not overly convincing on both attempts at further than six furlongs. With Poetic Steps and Ellthea showing little of late, the latter having been unruly at the start more than once and with Starlight looking better over shorter we are left with She’s Different, who could be a tentative bet against Clubbable and The Mums. Nigel Tinkler’s filly won well last time, staying on strongly at Hamilton and should relish this trip making her a sporting bet @ 6/1 against the main two.
Nyaleti heads the market but is worth taking on after a lacklustre effort last time in France and after finding seven furlongs too far at Ascot, the mile here looks out of range. Tajaanus and Lauren look closely matched, Tajaanus ran on well over seven furlongs in the Sweet Solera though the rail may have aided her while Lauren chased home a smart one of Freddy Head’s in Deauville and of the two may have more improvement in her. They should be on the premises, as should Billesdon Brook, though she is a little more exposed than others with Miss Bar Beach, closing on Billesden Brook at Goodwood, one to watch @ 25/1. Sizzling does not look anything special and is only 8/1 due to the trainer and rider, Aiden O’Brien and Ryan Moore, while progressive She Believes could go well @ 20/1. The interesting one is Simon Crisford’s Dark Rose Angel, already proven over a mile at Doncaster, she quickened well and won her maiden readily with the 11/1 a value bet for a trainer who is three winners from five two year old runners at this course.
A wide open renewal of the Park Hill Stakes with the Lillie Langtry form likely to have a big say as Melodic Motion, Dubka, Natural Scenery and Wild Irish Rose all take their place. Dubka seems to be at her best when the ground is riding soft so the drying conditions may just go against her. Natural Scenery has given two big efforts in recent weeks, not least in a rough Ebor where she found trouble but this could be one race too much for her while Wild Irish Rose may just find one or two too good. Melodic Motion has to be the one to take out of the race at Goodwood, not getting the best of passages she ran a cracker on her first foray out of handicap company and with improvement likely, looks the one to be on @ 9/2. Never underestimate Luca Cumani in races for the fairer sex and his talented yet lightly raced Al Jezeera warrants respect @ 8/1. Harlequeen came back to something like her best last time at Chester and can go well @ 14/1 as can the progressive Detailed.
This is an extremely competitive race with the York Premier Yearling Stakes form obviously going to have a big say. Tangled held on well at York but over this extra half a furlong one would expect Great Prospector to reel him in and rightly heads the market, with Richard Fahey’s record in this race only backing his case up. Another suited by this trip will be Alba Power but the suspicion is a return to seven furlongs would be in this son of Fast Company’s favour. Neola returned to form last time at Goodwood and a reproduction of that would see her hard to beat but she may just want the ground to stay soft with drying conditions going against her. Danzan travelled very well on the front end at York, just finding seven furlongs too much in the Acomb Stakes with this drop back half a furlong likely to suit and is fair value @ 14/1 while Humble Gratitude, Helvetian and Magic Jazz could all go well at prices.
Quickened Clear’s Best Bet:
Dark Rose Angel – 2.25 Doncaster – 1pt win @ 11/1